This is a monthly graph of the ENSO from 2020 through 2021. Negative is trending towards El Nino and Positive is trending towards La Nina. Near 0 means Neutral. that is right where we are right now. You can clearly see the positive trend during the peak of the hurricane season last year (La Nina). Right now we are near neutral and the new models expect us to stay that way through the peak of hurricane season. Still points to an active season, but nothing like last year.
Tag Archive for SOI
SOI (Southern Oscillation Index) Takes A Dive
Good Wednesday all. Looking at today’s SOI index, it has taken a nose dive. What this means is that if the trend continues, Westerly trade winds will develop in the Pacific that will usher in warmer water to the ENSO regions. This is how an El Nino gets started. Will it happen? Nobody can predict it accurately, not even the models.
Category: SOI (Southern Oscillation Index |
Tags: atlantic, hurricane season, Pacific, Sea Surface Temperatures, SOI, Southern Oscillation Index, SST