The strong nor’easter we have been talking about is beginning to obtain all the ingredients that are necessary for a robust storm to pound the north-east. Two disturbances are going to merge off the coast of the Carolinas and form yet another system that could create some coastal flooding along the coast of New Jersey and New York. These areas have already been hard hit by Super storm Sandy last week. The first signs of the developing storm will appear in Florida on Tuesday. Thunderstorms will march across the Sunshine State from west to east creating about a 60% chance of rain. The developing low will begin to move away from Florida on Tuesday night and begin to rapidly strengthen as it moves up the coast. This will drag a cold front through and allow for cooler and drier air to enter Florida the renmainder of the week.
As the weather in Florida improves, the conditions along the east coast will begin to deteriorate. By Wednesday late, precipitation should reach to around the Mass Pike.
As the low spins up and moves up the coast, a pressure gradient will tighten and winds will substantially increase. The winds aloft will be very high, just like in Sandy, up to 50 to 75 knots. The heavy rain will bring some of this wind energy to the ground with 40 to 50 MPH gusts. IF the stronger winds mix down with the heavy downpours, gusts of 60 to 80 MPH cannot be totally ruled out. Parts of Western Mass may see snow since they will be on the cold side of the storm.
Conditions should improve on Friday but strong gusty winds may still be the rule. Since this system is still in the development stages, please stay tuned and heed any local instructions you get from your local governments.
Your Cities Forecast By Zip Code http://www.joesdiscoweathercentral.com/Web_Forecasts.html
Storm Tracker Radar- Dover AFB in Delaware http://www.joesdiscoweathercentral.com/Storm_Floater_Radar.html
New York/New Jersey Forecast and Radar http://www.joesdiscoweathercentral.com/New_York_and_Vicinity_Forecast.html
Coastal Flood Watches are in effect…
URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
315 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012
..A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…
STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED OFF THE
VIRGINIA CAPES ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TO THE WATERS OFF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO PULL AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY.
DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-061200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.A.0002.121107T1600Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
315 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012
..COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.
* LOCATION…COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
DELAWARE BAY.
* COASTAL FLOODING…MODERATE FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WATER
LEVELS MAY NOT RECEDE MUCH BETWEEN THE TWO HIGH TIDES.
* AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
118 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 212 AM THURSDAY,
WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER.
* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
1248 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 142 AM THURSDAY,
WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER.
* AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
101 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 157 AM THURSDAY, WITH
A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
* AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 135 PM
WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 231 AM THURSDAY, WITH
A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
AT 221 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 302 AM THURSDAY,
WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
LOW WATER.
* AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 133
PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 207 AM THURSDAY, WITH
A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER.
* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS, ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.
* SEAS…WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE
EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON
DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.
* IMPACTS…NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO
MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL
HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE
WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH
EROSION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. PAY CLOSE ATTENTION
TO UPDATED FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.
FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR COUNTY
PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER CASE).
&&
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