We are now tracking Invest 92. The broad area in the Caribbean has finally got the attention of the NHC and is now being monitered.
Over the past couple of weeks, models have been hinting at some activity in the Gulf. These models have been consistent and ip appears they will be correct. Even if the low devellops, it has to move across the Yucatan Penninsula before emerging into the Gulf of Mexico. This could seriously disrupt the circulation.
In addition to the Gulf system, there is a system in the Eastern Pacific that has been shown by some models to cross over into the Cariibbean as well. Both these systems will be watched. As of now, Invest 92 has a low chance of development (10%).