As we sail towards the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, the forecasters at NOAA have decreased both the chances of a bad season and the total number of expected storms. In May, there was only a 25% chance of a below normal season. As of August 9, that chance has increased to 60%. The chances of an above normal season has dropped to only 10%.
For the entire season, NOAA believes there will be a total of 9 – 13 storms with 4 – 7 of them being hurricanes. Only 0-2 of these storms are expected to be major storms of cat 3 or higher. We have already had 4 storms under our belt and the next storm to form would be named Ernesto.