Hurricane season is still almost 3 months away but we Storm Spotters are already looking ahead at the 2017 season. This year there will be some changes to the products that are delivered by the NHC. This year the storm surge maps that have been experimental will go live. This tool will be a lifesaver for sure. It will give you up to the minute information of what areas will be affected by deadly storm surge. Remember that most hurricane deaths are not caused by winds but rather from drowning in waters created by the hurricanes storm surge.
Tag Archive for hurricane
Hurricane Season 2016 Winding Up
Hurricane season 2016 is beginning to wind up and the parade of storms is starting to line up across the toasty Atlantic. It is so hard to ponder that it has been 11 years since we have a hurricane make landfall along the US East Coast. This is without doubt one of the longest hurricane draughts we have seen in recent history. The big question is if it will continue through 2016.
Category: Invest 96 and 97, Tropic Watch 2016 |
Tags: hurricane, invest 96, Invest 97, Tropical Storm
Hurricane Season 2016 Begins Today
Good Morning everybody and welcome to hurricane season 2016!! Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season. This year we area starting off the season with 2 storms already under our belt. In fact, some global models are showing the potential to a tropical entity early next week. I would not bank a whole lot on the hype since right now the Gulf of Mexico is completely clear and a forecast that far out is simply way too much speculation.
Hurricane Joaquin Now A Category 3 Hurricane!!
***Please note this a long post but contains a lot of important information***We are a bit late but it takes time to review all the information and models.
Joaquin Is Now a MAJOR hurricane with sustained winds of 115 MPH**** The Bahamas are getting battered and will continue to do so tonight. The minimum central pressure is now 951 MB.***
A dangerous storm surge of 5 to 8 feet is possible in the Bahamas tonight. 5 to 10 inches of rain are possible in the path of this storm. Swells will begin to affect portions of the SE coast of the United States.
The latest GFS Model | Joaquin Threatens US East Coast
The latest GFS model still wants to insist on a major hurricane approaching the Mid Atlantic States. Although this is only one scenario most of the other models are following suit as well. An exact location for an impact will be determined by how far south and west the cyclone goes before being dragged to the north by the trough.
Hurricane Season 2015 Is Here. Will You Get Hit?
It has been a long 10 years since a hurricane of any significance has hit the East Coast or the Gulf Coast of the United States. After surviving the 2004 and 2005 hurricane season, this sure has been a welcome break. The fact is, we are now long overdue. Since record keeping has started, the longest prior time period without a hurricane strike was 8 years.
Powerful Hurricane Gonzalo Takes Aim At Bermuda
***Gonzalo Now A Strong Category 3 System Taking Dead Aim At Bermuda****
There have been some changes overnight in the overall structure of the cyclone. It appears that Gonzalo is slowly weakening as it aims at Bermuda. It will arrive sometime later today. Regardless, it will still be a major, dangerous hurricane.
A Quiet Hurricane Era May Be In Progress
***Atlantic Tropical Outlook****
On this Wednesday afternoon, Dolly has dissipated over Mexico and the lats advisory for her has been written. There are no other areas of the Atlantic that are being watched for tropical cyclone activity at this time. Around the weekend, a tropical wave will emerge from the African Coast and conditions appear to be favorable for some development. Right now, that is the only game in town.
Colorado State Predicts A Below Normal Hurricane Season
The next agency and probably the most famous, William Grey of the Colorado State University, has released their predictions for the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. A few days ago we released the prediction of Weather Bell.
As with Weather Bell, Colorado State is predicting a below average hurricane season. They are predicting 9 total storms with three becoming Hurricanes and only one becoming major with winds exceeding category 3 strength. This is an amazing low prediction given the trend that was happening in the Atlantic just a couple of years ago.
Category: Tropic Watch 2014 |
Tags: El Nino, emergency warnings, hurricane, outlook, Phil Klotzbach, Philip Klotzbach, prediction, saffir-simpson, Tropical Storm, William Gray -