The official hurricane season forecast is out from the Colorado State University. They are calling for an average season with 12 named storms. The new forecast is based on several factors including the presence of El Nino and ocean SST temperatures.
There has been a strong presence of El Nino during the past several months. El Nino is now on a slow downward trend as we head for a potential La Nina, the opposite of El Nino. It will likely dissipate before the peak 2016 hurricane season. This trend will likely happen by August.