Hurricane Florence, My Final Thoughts

I have been a storm spotter/tracker since 1997 and I have seen, experienced and tracked some of the worst scenarios known to man. Hurricanes are by far the most destructive storms on the face of the planet. I have had personal experiences with more hurricanes then I care to remember. As destructive as they are, hurricanes are an important part of our eco-system. They are necessary to balance out the heat from the deep tropics and transfer some of that heat to the northern latitudes. Without this heat equalization, our climate could suffer even bigger consequences. Normally, hurricanes want to recurve out to sea, The rotation tries its best but sometimes big bubbles of air (High Pressure) get in the way and totally disrupt this process. That was the case with Florence. The position that Florence was located in the ocean has never in History produced a storm that made landfall. Most storms that affect the Carolinas come in more from a southerly angle through the Bahamas or just East of the Bahamas. The angle of approach for Florence was unprecedented.

NOAA Increases The Chance For Below Normal Hurricane Season

As we sail towards the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, the forecasters at NOAA have decreased both the chances of a bad season and the total number of expected storms. In May, there was only a 25% chance of a below normal season. As of August 9, that chance has increased to 60%. The chances of an above normal season has dropped to only 10%.

Remembering Hurricane Irma 2017

Not a day goes by where somebody in Florida or the Islands of the Caribbean remembers the day Hurricane Irma paid a visit in September of 2017. In that year, all the signs of an extreme hurricane season where there. SST temperatures were at their highest, the wind shear in the Atlantic and Caribbean was low and the Bermuda high was in the perfect position for a US landfall. All the ingredients were in place.

Major Nor’ Easter Headed For North East

Another week, another Nor’Easter. It is starting to be a weekly routine in the Mid Atlantic and New England. A surface low will develop off the Delmarva Peninsula tonight and will drift northward as it develops. There is more confidence that the track will be closer to the coast and the result will be more precipitation, mostly in the form of snow. As a result, Winter Storm Warnings have been issued for a good part of the region.

Another Nor’Easter Threatens the North East

With the threat increasing for another Nor’Easter this Wednesday and Thursday in New England, folks should be getting ready for another round of power outages. In some cases, there are still people that have not got their power back from the last storm. it is possible that some part of the North East could have blizzard warnings. The following snow model shows some decent plowable snow coming to most areas.

Second Round of Storms Possible for North East!

As if the latest super storm was not enough, yet another round of potential severe weather is possible about mid week in the north east. Models are again suggesting a developing low pressure area moving up the coast and creating a wind, coastal flood and snow event.

Although not near as bad, it will be affecting many of the same areas that were just hit hard by Riley. In many cases, recovery is only beginning.

Potential New Years Eve Storm Possible

Many parts of the North East have been treated to a White Christmas this year but what about New Years? There remains the potential for a Nor’Easter to form off or on the East Coast this New Years Eve but a couple of things will have to happen in order for this scenario to take place.

The GFS shows the center of the system offshore but this could change and a storm could track either closer to the coast or farther offshore.

14 Days Till Hurricane Season 2017 Begins | Are You prepared?

It is hard to believe that Hurricane Season 2017 is almost here. Since the last hurricane seasonal projection, lots of things have changed to make almost a complete 360. Now it does not look as likely that El Nino will be strong enough to affect the peak of the 20017 season. In addition, the water temperatures have rapidly started to warm up.

Treasure Coast | April 29, 2017 Forecast | Florida |

Good Saturday morning Treasure Coast! Very dry air exists along the Treasure Coast today. A few showers near the immediate coast is possible later today into tonight.

The high today will be around 90 with very low rain chances. Saturday night looks pleasant with lows around 70. Sunday, the shower chances are up just a bit to 20%. The high on Sunday will be in the mid 80’s. As we migrate to next week, the rain chances are bumped up to 40% on Tuesday and Friday.

Hurricane Season 2017 Outlook

Its that time again when we are looking towards the beginning of Hurricane Season 2017. Last year was predicted to be an above average season and it lived up to its name. This was especially true when Hurricane Matthew churned up the East Coast of Florida and came within 35 miles of the coast. A few miles to the west would of made all the difference in the world. The strongest winds stayed just a few miles offshore the coast. It was a wake up call for the residents of the East Coast of Florida that hopefully will not be soon forgotten.

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