Some interesting changes in at least one of the models for Tropical Storm Karen this morning. The GFS is showing the cyclone taking a more Easterly track and hitting somewhere around Apalachee Bay and then stalling off the South Carolina Coast. We will have to watch carefully for any signs of this eastward trend as the day progresses.
In general, Karen is actually a “mess” right now with the effects of the wind shear apparent. The main convection is well east of the center. The central pressure has risen from 999 mb to 1002 mb.